Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs 10/28/18 - NFL Betting Picks & Odds
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL: 1:00 PM EST
Oct. 28, 2018
TV: CBS
Latest Odds : Chiefs -9.5 Total 53.5
Only worry I have in this game taking the Broncos is the start time of 1PM that used to be a big factor for west coast teams but not as much lately. The Chiefs have really been a thorn in my betting side but again this week I feel we are getting tremendous value in the Broncos.
This is a long time division rivalry and even when either team is bad these games have a tendency to be close. Even more so in this game as the Broncos play with revenge on there mind from and earlier year loss 27-23.
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Denver's defense has looked better lately and the first time they met they held the Chiefs to their lowest scoring output of the season and limiting Pat Mahomes to just one touchdown pass. I can see a even more determined Denver defense this time around as they're season is on the line.
Pat Mahomes has been amazing this season he has thrown for 2223 yards 22 touch downs and just 5 interceptions. The opposite for Case Keenum as he has been back to usual form with the Broncos this season 8 touchdowns 9 interceptions and a rating of just 81
Recent Betting Trends:
Chiefs are 7-0 ATS this season
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Free Betting Pick: Denver +9.5
Broncos had lead the earlier game after 3 quarters 20-13 but Mahomes went off for 153 yards and a touch down to rally the Chief to the win. Biggest problem Chiefs face this week is on the offensive line where they lost guard Jordan Devey to a torn pectoral muscle.
Look for Denver to get to Mahomes and force him into turnovers. This will put the Broncos into prime scoring real estate. I love points like this in a bitter rivalry and the numbers back us up as we bet the Broncos with the points as the final score will be 28-24 Chiefs.